Setlist Predictions · New Year's Run 2026 · Night 2 of 4

Phish Setlist Prediction for Madison Square Garden, Dec 31, 2026

Our machine-learning model predicts what Phish will play at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY on Dec 31, 2026 (night 2 of a 4-night stand). Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history to call the openers, the second-set launchpad, the encore, and the bustouts. Think of it as a read. Only Phish knows what Phish will do. Think you can do better? Make your own picks and score against the algorithm.

Songs Madison Square Garden tends to get more than a typical stop: HYHU, GTBT, Avenu Malkenu, Esther, Strange Design, TMWSIY.

Predicted Set 1

1. Carini
2. Theme from the Bottom
3. Evolve
4. Ghost
5. Steam
6. Sand
7. Bouncing Around the Room
8. Reba
9. Blaze On
10. Halley's Comet
11. Harry Hood

Predicted Set 2

1. Set Your Soul Free
2. Everything's Right
3. A Wave of Hope
4. Twist
5. Down with Disease
6. Fuego
7. Character Zero

Predicted Encore

1. Slave to the Traffic Light
2. Grind

Bustout candidates

Songs overdue to resurface, with a big gap since Phish last played them:

• Frost: 308 shows since last played
• Passing Through: 211 shows since last played
• I Been Around: 214 shows since last played
• Devotion to a Dream: 50 shows since last played
• The Curtain: 206 shows since last played
• Rise/Come Together: 204 shows since last played

Frequently asked

More Phish New Year's Run 2026 predictions

• Phish Madison Square Garden, Dec 30, 2026 setlist prediction
• Phish Madison Square Garden, Jan 1, 2027 setlist prediction
• Phish Madison Square Garden, Jan 2, 2027 setlist prediction