Setlist Predictions · Summer Tour 2026 · Night 17 of 21 · played
Phish Setlist Prediction for Fenway Park, Jul 31, 2026
This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Fenway Park in Boston, MA on Jul 31, 2026 (night 1 of a 2-night stand), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Summer Tour 2026 wrap.
Melt the Guns at 2,052 shows, the biggest gap of the summer, for 16 minutes. The model had Carini opening a show fourteen nights earlier and What's Going Through Your Mind in the encore instead of opening set 2. Near misses, Fenway-sized.
Predicted Set 1
- First Tube
- 46 Days
- The Moma Dance
- Steam
- Back on the Train
- Kill Devil Falls
- Evolve
- Sand
- Blaze On
- Ghost
- Life Saving Gun
Predicted Set 2
- Oblivion
- Twist
- Fuego
- Piper
- Ruby Waves
- A Wave of Hope
- Run Like an Antelope
Predicted Encore
- Carini
- What's Going Through Your Mind
Frequently asked
What did the model predict Phish would open with at Fenway Park on Jul 31, 2026?
The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "First Tube".
What did the model predict for the second set at Fenway Park?
The model's Set 2 sheet led with Oblivion, Twist, Fuego, Piper, Ruby Waves.
What did the model predict would close the show at Fenway Park?
The model's encore prediction was Carini, What's Going Through Your Mind.
How did the model do at Fenway Park on Jul 31, 2026?
Melt the Guns at 2,052 shows, the biggest gap of the summer, for 16 minutes. The model had Carini opening a show fourteen nights earlier and What's Going Through Your Mind in the encore instead of opening set 2. Near misses, Fenway-sized.
When did Phish play Fenway Park on Summer Tour 2026?
Jul 31, 2026, night 1 of a 2-night stand at Fenway Park in Boston, MA.
So how did the model do?
Every call from Summer Tour 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.
Read the Summer Tour 2026 wrap →More Phish Summer Tour 2026 predictions
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