Setlist Predictions · Summer Tour 2026 · Night 12 of 21 · played

Phish Setlist Prediction for Madison Square Garden, Jul 22, 2026

This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Madison Square Garden in New York, NY on Jul 22, 2026 (night 1 of a 5-night stand), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Summer Tour 2026 wrap.

Glide at 226 shows to open. Cold as Ice at 1,469 shows for 34 seconds. The Vibration of Life at 1,028. And Big Black Furry Creature from Mars in the encore, which the model landed on that morning and got half credit for.

Predicted Set 1

  1. AC/DC Bag
  2. Wolfman's Brother
  3. Tube
  4. 46 Days
  5. Stash
  6. Theme from the Bottom
  7. Bathtub Gin
  8. Kill Devil Falls
  9. Reba
  10. Bouncing Around the Room
  11. Cavern

Predicted Set 2

  1. I Never Needed You Like This Before
  2. Tweezer
  3. Chalk Dust Torture
  4. Twist
  5. Golden Age
  6. Down with Disease
  7. Suzy Greenberg

Predicted Encore

  1. Weekapaug Groove
  2. Big Black Furry Creature from Mars

Frequently asked

What did the model predict Phish would open with at Madison Square Garden on Jul 22, 2026?

The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "AC/DC Bag".

What did the model predict for the second set at Madison Square Garden?

The model's Set 2 sheet led with I Never Needed You Like This Before, Tweezer, Chalk Dust Torture, Twist, Golden Age.

What did the model predict would close the show at Madison Square Garden?

The model's encore prediction was Weekapaug Groove, Big Black Furry Creature from Mars.

How did the model do at Madison Square Garden on Jul 22, 2026?

Glide at 226 shows to open. Cold as Ice at 1,469 shows for 34 seconds. The Vibration of Life at 1,028. And Big Black Furry Creature from Mars in the encore, which the model landed on that morning and got half credit for.

When did Phish play Madison Square Garden on Summer Tour 2026?

Jul 22, 2026, night 1 of a 5-night stand at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

So how did the model do?

Every call from Summer Tour 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.

Read the Summer Tour 2026 wrap →

More Phish Summer Tour 2026 predictions

← Empower Federal Credit Union Amphitheater at Lakeview, Jul 21, 2026Madison Square Garden, Jul 24, 2026 →

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