Setlist Predictions · Summer Tour 2026 · Night 10 of 21 · played

Phish Setlist Prediction for Merriweather Post Pavilion, Jul 19, 2026

This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Merriweather Post Pavilion in Columbia, MD on Jul 19, 2026 (night 2 of a 2-night stand), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Summer Tour 2026 wrap.

Carini opened set 2 and ran 40 minutes, the longest performance of the summer. The model had Oblivion opening set 2, and had called Carini for that exact slot six nights earlier.

Predicted Set 1

  1. Sigma Oasis
  2. The Moma Dance
  3. Back on the Train
  4. Wolfman's Brother
  5. Tube
  6. Kill Devil Falls
  7. Blaze On
  8. Mike's Song
  9. Funky Bitch
  10. Weekapaug Groove
  11. Possum

Predicted Set 2

  1. Oblivion
  2. Chalk Dust Torture
  3. Ruby Waves
  4. Tweezer
  5. Twist
  6. No Men In No Man's Land
  7. First Tube

Predicted Encore

  1. Waste
  2. Turtle in the Clouds

Frequently asked

What did the model predict Phish would open with at Merriweather Post Pavilion on Jul 19, 2026?

The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "Sigma Oasis".

What did the model predict for the second set at Merriweather Post Pavilion?

The model's Set 2 sheet led with Oblivion, Chalk Dust Torture, Ruby Waves, Tweezer, Twist.

What did the model predict would close the show at Merriweather Post Pavilion?

The model's encore prediction was Waste, Turtle in the Clouds.

How did the model do at Merriweather Post Pavilion on Jul 19, 2026?

Carini opened set 2 and ran 40 minutes, the longest performance of the summer. The model had Oblivion opening set 2, and had called Carini for that exact slot six nights earlier.

When did Phish play Merriweather Post Pavilion on Summer Tour 2026?

Jul 19, 2026, night 2 of a 2-night stand at Merriweather Post Pavilion in Columbia, MD.

So how did the model do?

Every call from Summer Tour 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.

Read the Summer Tour 2026 wrap →

More Phish Summer Tour 2026 predictions

← Merriweather Post Pavilion, Jul 18, 2026Empower Federal Credit Union Amphitheater at Lakeview, Jul 21, 2026 →

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