Setlist Predictions · Summer Tour 2026 · Night 16 of 21 · played
Phish Setlist Prediction for Madison Square Garden, Jul 29, 2026
This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Madison Square Garden in New York, NY on Jul 29, 2026 (night 5 of a 5-night stand), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Summer Tour 2026 wrap.
Forbin's > Mockingbird > Harpua in set 1, and the model had bet the super card on no Harpua. A 36-minute YEM opened set 2; the model had Sigma Oasis. Then a 31-minute Crosseyed, then Suspicious Minds at 1,022 shows. The model would like to move on.
Predicted Set 1
- A Wave of Hope
- 46 Days
- The Moma Dance
- Steam
- Evolve
- Back on the Train
- Kill Devil Falls
- Character Zero
- 555
- Roggae
- You Enjoy Myself
Predicted Set 2
- Sigma Oasis
- Twist
- Fuego
- Piper
- Golden Age
- Ruby Waves
- Carini
Predicted Encore
- Fee
- Lonely Trip
Frequently asked
What did the model predict Phish would open with at Madison Square Garden on Jul 29, 2026?
The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "A Wave of Hope".
What did the model predict for the second set at Madison Square Garden?
The model's Set 2 sheet led with Sigma Oasis, Twist, Fuego, Piper, Golden Age.
What did the model predict would close the show at Madison Square Garden?
The model's encore prediction was Fee, Lonely Trip.
How did the model do at Madison Square Garden on Jul 29, 2026?
Forbin's > Mockingbird > Harpua in set 1, and the model had bet the super card on no Harpua. A 36-minute YEM opened set 2; the model had Sigma Oasis. Then a 31-minute Crosseyed, then Suspicious Minds at 1,022 shows. The model would like to move on.
When did Phish play Madison Square Garden on Summer Tour 2026?
Jul 29, 2026, night 5 of a 5-night stand at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.
So how did the model do?
Every call from Summer Tour 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.
Read the Summer Tour 2026 wrap →More Phish Summer Tour 2026 predictions
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