Setlist Predictions · Sphere Residency 2026 · Night 2 of 9 · played

Phish Setlist Prediction for Sphere, Apr 17, 2026

This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Sphere in Las Vegas, NV on Apr 17, 2026 (a one-night stop), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap.

NMINML opened set 2, exactly where the model put it. 47% confidence. One of the model's two landed calls.

Predicted Set 1

  1. Sigma Oasis
  2. Divided Sky
  3. Reba
  4. Sand
  5. Halley's Comet
  6. Rift
  7. Evolve
  8. David Bowie
  9. Run Like an Antelope
  10. Mull
  11. Character Zero

Predicted Set 2

  1. No Men In No Man's Land
  2. Fuego
  3. Mercury
  4. Mr. Completely
  5. You Enjoy Myself
  6. Soul Planet
  7. Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S.

Predicted Encore

  1. A Life Beyond The Dream
  2. Grind

Frequently asked

What did the model predict Phish would open with at Sphere on Apr 17, 2026?

The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "Sigma Oasis".

What did the model predict for the second set at Sphere?

The model's Set 2 sheet led with No Men In No Man's Land, Fuego, Mercury, Mr. Completely, You Enjoy Myself.

What did the model predict would close the show at Sphere?

The model's encore prediction was A Life Beyond The Dream, Grind.

How did the model do at Sphere on Apr 17, 2026?

NMINML opened set 2, exactly where the model put it. 47% confidence. One of the model's two landed calls.

When did Phish play Sphere on Sphere Residency 2026?

Apr 17, 2026, a one-night stop at Sphere in Las Vegas, NV.

So how did the model do?

Every call from Sphere Residency 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.

Read the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap →

More Phish Sphere Residency 2026 predictions

← Sphere, Apr 16, 2026Sphere, Apr 18, 2026 →

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