Setlist Predictions · Sphere Residency 2026 · Night 5 of 9 · played

Phish Setlist Prediction for Sphere, Apr 24, 2026

This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Sphere in Las Vegas, NV on Apr 24, 2026 (a one-night stop), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap.

TMWSIY opened: 93-show gap. The model had it three songs deep.

Predicted Set 1

  1. Punch You in the Eye
  2. Hey Stranger
  3. The Man Who Stepped Into Yesterday
  4. Timber (Jerry the Mule)
  5. Halfway to the Moon
  6. Roggae
  7. Ocelot
  8. Llama
  9. Bouncing Around the Room
  10. Plasma
  11. Suzy Greenberg

Predicted Set 2

  1. Party Time
  2. Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1
  3. Scents and Subtle Sounds
  4. Lonely Trip
  5. Death Don't Hurt Very Long
  6. Frankie Says
  7. Fire

Predicted Encore

  1. Contact
  2. Alumni Blues

Frequently asked

What did the model predict Phish would open with at Sphere on Apr 24, 2026?

The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "Punch You in the Eye".

What did the model predict for the second set at Sphere?

The model's Set 2 sheet led with Party Time, Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1, Scents and Subtle Sounds, Lonely Trip, Death Don't Hurt Very Long.

What did the model predict would close the show at Sphere?

The model's encore prediction was Contact, Alumni Blues.

How did the model do at Sphere on Apr 24, 2026?

TMWSIY opened: 93-show gap. The model had it three songs deep.

When did Phish play Sphere on Sphere Residency 2026?

Apr 24, 2026, a one-night stop at Sphere in Las Vegas, NV.

So how did the model do?

Every call from Sphere Residency 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.

Read the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap →

More Phish Sphere Residency 2026 predictions

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