Setlist Predictions · Sphere Residency 2026 · Night 8 of 9 · played

Phish Setlist Prediction for Sphere, May 1, 2026

This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Sphere in Las Vegas, NV on May 1, 2026 (a one-night stop), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap.

Mound · 106-show gap · the biggest bustout of the residency. Buried in set 1.

Predicted Set 1

Evening Song
The Wedge
The Sloth
Cities
Birds of a Feather
Destiny Unbound
Cool Amber and Mercury
Avenu Malkenu
Limb By Limb
Crazy Sometimes
Golgi Apparatus

Predicted Set 2

The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony
Joy
Makisupa Policeman
The Well
What's Going Through Your Mind
Tela
Frankenstein

Predicted Encore

Fuck Your Face
Letter to Jimmy Page

Frequently asked

What did the model predict Phish would open with at Sphere on May 1, 2026?

The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "Evening Song".

What did the model predict for the second set at Sphere?

The model's Set 2 sheet led with The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony, Joy, Makisupa Policeman, The Well, What's Going Through Your Mind.

What did the model predict would close the show at Sphere?

The model's encore prediction was Fuck Your Face, Letter to Jimmy Page.

How did the model do at Sphere on May 1, 2026?

Mound · 106-show gap · the biggest bustout of the residency. Buried in set 1.

When did Phish play Sphere on Sphere Residency 2026?

May 1, 2026, a one-night stop at Sphere in Las Vegas, NV.

So how did the model do?

Every call from Sphere Residency 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.

Read the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap →

More Phish Sphere Residency 2026 predictions

← Sphere, Apr 30, 2026 Sphere, May 2, 2026 →

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