Setlist Predictions · Sphere Residency 2026 · Night 4 of 9 · played

Phish Setlist Prediction for Sphere, Apr 23, 2026

This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Sphere in Las Vegas, NV on Apr 23, 2026 (a one-night stop), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap.

Curtain (With) opened set 2; the model had it as the run closer. More closed the encore.

Predicted Set 1

  1. Buried Alive
  2. The Moma Dance
  3. Ghost
  4. Runaway Jim
  5. Funky Bitch
  6. About to Run
  7. Fluffhead
  8. The Squirming Coil
  9. Everything's Right
  10. Gumbo
  11. Loving Cup

Predicted Set 2

  1. Down with Disease
  2. Also Sprach Zarathustra
  3. Golden Age
  4. Prince Caspian
  5. Miss You
  6. Rise/Come Together
  7. Cavern

Predicted Encore

  1. Show of Life
  2. Hold Your Head Up

Frequently asked

What did the model predict Phish would open with at Sphere on Apr 23, 2026?

The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "Buried Alive".

What did the model predict for the second set at Sphere?

The model's Set 2 sheet led with Down with Disease, Also Sprach Zarathustra, Golden Age, Prince Caspian, Miss You.

What did the model predict would close the show at Sphere?

The model's encore prediction was Show of Life, Hold Your Head Up.

How did the model do at Sphere on Apr 23, 2026?

Curtain (With) opened set 2; the model had it as the run closer. More closed the encore.

When did Phish play Sphere on Sphere Residency 2026?

Apr 23, 2026, a one-night stop at Sphere in Las Vegas, NV.

So how did the model do?

Every call from Sphere Residency 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.

Read the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap →

More Phish Sphere Residency 2026 predictions

← Sphere, Apr 18, 2026Sphere, Apr 24, 2026 →

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