Setlist Predictions · Sphere Residency 2026 · Night 3 of 9 · played

Phish Setlist Prediction for Sphere, Apr 18, 2026

This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Sphere in Las Vegas, NV on Apr 18, 2026 (a one-night stop), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap.

Oblivion as the set-2 opener · 30% confidence · the only one. Plus Forbin → Mockingbird in set 1, neither of which the catalog has.

Predicted Set 1

  1. Turtle in the Clouds
  2. Weekapaug Groove
  3. Sample in a Jar
  4. Kill Devil Falls
  5. AC/DC Bag
  6. 555
  7. Split Open and Melt
  8. Shade
  9. Walls of the Cave
  10. My Friend, My Friend
  11. Possum

Predicted Set 2

  1. Oblivion
  2. Crosseyed and Painless
  3. Waves
  4. I Always Wanted It This Way
  5. The Howling
  6. Pillow Jets
  7. Drift While You're Sleeping

Predicted Encore

  1. Saw It Again
  2. Sleeping Monkey

Frequently asked

What did the model predict Phish would open with at Sphere on Apr 18, 2026?

The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "Turtle in the Clouds".

What did the model predict for the second set at Sphere?

The model's Set 2 sheet led with Oblivion, Crosseyed and Painless, Waves, I Always Wanted It This Way, The Howling.

What did the model predict would close the show at Sphere?

The model's encore prediction was Saw It Again, Sleeping Monkey.

How did the model do at Sphere on Apr 18, 2026?

Oblivion as the set-2 opener · 30% confidence · the only one. Plus Forbin → Mockingbird in set 1, neither of which the catalog has.

When did Phish play Sphere on Sphere Residency 2026?

Apr 18, 2026, a one-night stop at Sphere in Las Vegas, NV.

So how did the model do?

Every call from Sphere Residency 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.

Read the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap →

More Phish Sphere Residency 2026 predictions

← Sphere, Apr 17, 2026Sphere, Apr 23, 2026 →

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