Setlist Predictions · Sphere Residency 2026 · Night 9 of 9 · played
Phish Setlist Prediction for Sphere, May 2, 2026
This show has been played. Below is what our machine-learning model called for Sphere in Las Vegas, NV on May 2, 2026 (a one-night stop), frozen the morning of the show. Trained on 300+ shows from Phish's modern era (since 2019), it weighs song frequency, set position, gap pressure, and venue history. The actual setlist is on phish.net. How the call held up, night by night, is in the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap.
The model's #1 encore pick (Wading) was the first song of the encore, a slot call that landed. Phish closed with Fluffhead instead of the model's #2 pick (Curtain).
Predicted Set 1
- The Landlady
- Guyute
- Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan
- NICU
- Weigh
- Olivia's Pool
- Yarmouth Road
- Mound
- Frost
- Driver
- Good Times Bad Times
Predicted Set 2
- Knuckle Bone Broth Avenue
- Cool It Down
- Twenty Years Later
- Scent of a Mule
- Chalk Dust Torture Reprise
- Casual Enlightenment
- Shafty
Predicted Encore
- Wading in the Velvet Sea
- The Curtain
Frequently asked
What did the model predict Phish would open with at Sphere on May 2, 2026?
The model's Set 1 opener call, frozen before the show, was "The Landlady".
What did the model predict for the second set at Sphere?
The model's Set 2 sheet led with Knuckle Bone Broth Avenue, Cool It Down, Twenty Years Later, Scent of a Mule, Chalk Dust Torture Reprise.
What did the model predict would close the show at Sphere?
The model's encore prediction was Wading in the Velvet Sea, The Curtain.
How did the model do at Sphere on May 2, 2026?
The model's #1 encore pick (Wading) was the first song of the encore, a slot call that landed. Phish closed with Fluffhead instead of the model's #2 pick (Curtain).
When did Phish play Sphere on Sphere Residency 2026?
May 2, 2026, a one-night stop at Sphere in Las Vegas, NV.
So how did the model do?
Every call from Sphere Residency 2026, scored against what Phish actually played: the hits, the near misses, and the bustouts nobody saw coming.
Read the Sphere Residency 2026 wrap →More Phish Sphere Residency 2026 predictions
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